Projecting Number of Shares Outstanding (MSFT) Contest
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Projecting Number of Shares Outstanding (MSFT) Contest The Microsoft earnings conference call is this afternoon, 5:30 EDT. You can sign up to listen to it here: http://www.microsoft.com/investor/Events/default.aspx It's always fascinating to listen to these and then to read the journalists interpretations of what was said. It definitely gives you perspective on how much bias there is in what you read in the press. There's still time to participate in our contest to try and project what earnings they will announce. Don't forget, the club who is closest will receive a $20 credit toward their next subscription renewal. Make sure you make your entries by 2PM EDT today. You can enter them here: https://spreadsheets.google.com/viewform?formkey=dEtYZU54RHN4RDhKa3BxWjF1LVJDemc6MA I've attached the spreadsheet you can use to make your estimate. On Tuesday and Wednesday I discussed the first two of the judgments you need to make, revenue growth and net margin. The final judgment you will make to project earnings is the number of diluted shares they will have outstanding. It's important to keep an eye on how the number of shares outstanding is affecting their reported earnings per share. You want your EPS growth to come from the business being more successful, not to manipulation of numbers by playing with the number of shares outstanding. It is a number I think is pretty difficult to project too far into the future. It will depend on a lot of things including how management needs to capitalize their operations, how many stock options and other stock rewards they will be issuing to employees, whether they feel the most effective use of their cash is to purchase back shares and even whether they need a little extra boost to help their earnings out for the quarter. The average number of diluted shares they had outstanding for the most recent 4 quarters was 8913.25. For the most recent quarter they had 8843 shares outstanding. Good luck! -- Laurie Frederiksen Invest with your friends! www.bivio.com Become our Facebook friend! www.facebook.com/bivio Follow us on twitter! www.twitter.com/bivio |
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